G05PMF Example Program Results Initial values used: 168.018 3.800 Mean Deviation = 0.2547E+02 Absolute Deviation = 0.2123E+02 Observed 1-Step Period Values Forecast Residual 1 180.000 171.818 8.182 2 135.000 175.782 -40.782 3 213.000 178.848 34.152 4 181.000 183.005 -2.005 5 148.000 186.780 -38.780 6 204.000 189.800 14.200 7 228.000 193.492 34.508 8 225.000 197.732 27.268 9 198.000 202.172 -4.172 10 200.000 206.256 -6.256 11 187.000 210.256 -23.256 Simulated CI Simulated CI Obs. Forecast Estimated CI (Gaussian Errors) (Bootstrap Errors) 12 213.854 163.928 263.781 161.431 258.001 173.073 248.363 13 217.685 167.748 267.622 172.660 262.100 177.311 252.638 14 221.516 171.556 271.475 169.259 263.107 179.344 256.921 15 225.346 175.347 275.345 180.721 272.776 183.672 260.804 16 229.177 179.115 279.238 184.790 263.591 186.398 264.173 95.0% CIs were produced